Bhubaneswar: Amidst the fear of the ever growing number of Covid-19 infected persons all around the world, a positive outlook has been rendered by an an American-British-Israeli biophysicist Michael Levitt who received the 2013 Nobel Prize in chemistry for developing complex models of chemical systems.
According to him, if the world abides the social distancing formula, this fast spreading pandemic may gradually slow down and come to a halt. He said the world should not panic at this time as overreaction could trigger another crisis, with lost jobs and hopelessness around.
Interestingly, he had predicted the trajectory of China and had said that that China would get away. He predicted mid-February peak with a total tally of about 80,000 cases and 3,250 deaths. “As of March 16, China had counted a total of 80,298 cases and 3,245 deaths”. The Nobel laureate had calculated that China would get through the worst of its coronavirus outbreak long before many health experts had predicted.
His optimistic take comes after a studying the number of cases in the world since January. After analysing data from 78 countries that report more than 50 new cases everyday, he said there are “signs of recovery” in many of them. His calculation does not focus on the total number of cases being reported in a country, but the total number of new cases identified every day.
The real situation is not nearly as terrible as they make it out to be, he observed. According to him, the numbers are messy as the official counts in many places are low due to less testing. But even with incomplete data, one can figure out that there is consistent decline in the numbers.
His observation is a ray of hope in this distressed time for millions of people all around the world. But he has emphasised the significance of the ongoing mitigation efforts by different countries, and has asked everyone to abide to social distancing.